JTWC မွ INVEST 92B မုန္တိုင္း ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ ေျခ အဆင့္ MEDIUM သို႕ ျပန္လည္ ေလွ်ာ့ခ် လိုက္ၿပီ

ယေန႕ နံနက္ ျမန္မာ စံေတာ္ခ်ိန္ ၉ နာရီ တြင္ JTWC မွ INVEST 92B ၂၄ နာရီ အတြင္း မုန္တိုင္း ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ ေၾကာင္း သတိေပး ခ်က္ အား ပယ္ဖ်က္ ေၾကာင္း၊ ၄င္း တို႕ ခန္႕မွန္းခ်က္ မ်ား အရ မုန္တိုင္း ျဖစ္ႏိုင္ ေျခ အားနည္း သြားၿပီ ျဖစ္သျဖင့္ လာ မည့္ ၂၄ နာရီ အတြင္း INVEST 92B မွ မုန္တိုင္း ျဖစ္ေပၚ ႏိုင္ေျခ အဆင့္ အား “Medium” သို႕ ေလွ်ာ့ခ် လိုက္ေၾကာင္း စသည္ ျဖင့္ ပါရွိ ပါသည္။

ROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION ..
THIS CANCELS REF A (WTIO21 PGTW 220730). THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 91.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 91.0E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM SOUTH OF CHITTAGONG, BANGLADESH.

RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS PATCHY DEEP CONVECTION FLARING AND DISSIPATING OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 222238Z SSMIS PASS.

THIS DISTURBANCE HAS WEAKENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST TWELVE HOURS IN RESPONSE TO PERSISTENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR INDUCED BY THE PERIPHERAL FLOW AROUND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH.

EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, RENDERING THE FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THAT TIME FRAME UNLIKELY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB.

BASED ON THE OBSERVED WEAKENING TREND AND CONSIDERING THE POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT IF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR RELAXES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM.

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